Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1985 |
COL
1 - 0
BRA
12%
24%
64%
|
75 | 95 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 1
URU
31%
31%
39%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 95 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 2
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
COL
1 - 0
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1985 |
BOL
0 - 0
PER
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
0 - 1
PER
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 95 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
36%
30%
34%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1985 |
PER
1 - 0
ECU
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
PER
1 - 1
CHI
48%
28%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |