Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
PER
1 - 0
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
0 - 1
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 1983 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1983 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1983 |
COL
2 - 2
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 1
PER
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
PER
1 - 0
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1983 |
PER
1 - 1
URU
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1983 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1983 |
PER
0 - 1
CHI
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |