Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1981 |
COL
1 - 1
ESP
25%
29%
47%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1981 |
COL
1 - 2
CHI
34%
25%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
PAR
0 - 2
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 0
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
COL
1 - 1
BRA
13%
23%
64%
|
67 | 94 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
CHI
3 - 0
PER
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1981 |
PER
1 - 2
BGR
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
PER
1 - 1
URU
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1980 |
URU
0 - 0
PER
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1979 |
MEX
1 - 0
PER
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |