Copa America Final
Global 1-3
Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
COL
3 - 0
URU
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 1975 |
COL
2 - 0
ECU
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 1
COL
73%
16%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1975 |
ECU
1 - 3
COL
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
PER
0 - 2
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1975 |
BRA
1 - 3
PER
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
PER
3 - 1
CHI
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1975 |
PER
3 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
0 - 1
PER
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |