Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
BOL
78%
16%
7%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
USA
1 - 5
COL
44%
26%
31%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ROU
2 - 3
COL
22%
27%
51%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 1
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 3
COL
39%
28%
34%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
PAR
42%
28%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
PAR
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
COL
22%
27%
52%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |