Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
QAT
67%
20%
13%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ARG
0 - 2
COL
57%
23%
21%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
PER
0 - 3
COL
37%
28%
35%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
COL
3 - 0
PAN
78%
16%
7%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
KOR
2 - 1
COL
34%
29%
37%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 1
PRY
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
PRY
2 - 2
QAT
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
PRY
2 - 0
GTM
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
PRY
1 - 1
HND
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
PRY
2 - 4
MEX
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |