Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
CHI
4 - 0
COL
46%
27%
27%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
COL
0 - 1
URU
43%
27%
30%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
COL
0 - 1
ECU
61%
23%
16%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2008 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
38%
29%
34%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
32%
29%
39%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 0
VEN
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
71%
19%
10%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
KSA
1 - 1
PAR
36%
29%
36%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
BOL
4 - 2
PAR
28%
29%
43%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRA
16%
23%
62%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | +1 |