Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1996 |
COL
4 - 1
BOL
66%
22%
13%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1996 |
COL
3 - 0
TTO
70%
20%
10%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1996 |
COL
2 - 1
HND
61%
24%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
BRA
3 - 1
COL
81%
14%
5%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
MEX
2 - 2
COL
59%
25%
16%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1996 |
BOL
4 - 1
PAR
33%
29%
39%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
JPN
1 - 2
PAR
38%
28%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1995 |
COL
1 - 1
PAR
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1995 |
PAR
3 - 2
VEN
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1995 |
URU
1 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |