Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1989 |
VEN
2 - 4
COL
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1989 |
COL
4 - 0
HTI
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1989 |
USA
0 - 1
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1989 |
COL
1 - 0
ARG
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
COL
1 - 0
CHI
44%
28%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1989 |
PAR
5 - 2
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 2
PAR
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1989 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 1
GTM
66%
22%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |