Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 1
COL
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
COL
2 - 0
ECU
70%
19%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1989 |
URU
0 - 0
COL
68%
21%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1989 |
COL
1 - 1
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 1
ECU
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 1
COL
59%
25%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1989 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
60%
24%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
79%
15%
7%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 3
URU
50%
27%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |