Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 3
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
URU
3 - 0
COL
73%
19%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1985 |
COL
1 - 0
POL
22%
27%
52%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
COL
1 - 2
POL
22%
27%
50%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 3
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 3
URU
39%
31%
30%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAR
56%
25%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
URU
1 - 0
PAR
61%
24%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1983 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | +1 |