Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1973 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
75%
16%
10%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1973 |
PER
3 - 1
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1973 |
ECU
1 - 1
COL
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1973 |
COL
0 - 0
URU
21%
22%
56%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1973 |
COL
1 - 1
ECU
62%
18%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1975 |
PER
2 - 0
PAR
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAR
30%
23%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1975 |
URU
0 - 1
PAR
57%
24%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |