Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
48.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1969 |
COL
0 - 2
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 90 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
1 - 1
COL
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
COL
3 - 0
VEN
48%
21%
31%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1969 |
COL
3 - 3
CHI
29%
22%
49%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1969 |
COL
0 - 1
URU
11%
18%
72%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
0 - 2
PAR
39%
22%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1969 |
PER
2 - 1
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1969 |
PER
2 - 1
PAR
52%
22%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 1969 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
PAR
0 - 1
CHI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |