Colombia vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
48.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
COL
0 - 1
MEX
31%
21%
48%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
COL
2 - 0
USA
52%
19%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1957 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
66%
17%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1957 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
79%
13%
8%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
COL
1 - 2
PAR
38%
20%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
COL
0 - 1
MEX
31%
21%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1962 |
ARG
1 - 0
MEX
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
MEX
57%
20%
24%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1961 |
NOR
1 - 1
MEX
34%
21%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |