Colombia vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
GER
3 - 0
COL
76%
16%
9%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
POL
1 - 2
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
COL
0 - 0
ROU
36%
27%
37%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
ECU
1 - 1
COL
41%
29%
30%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
VEN
1 - 1
COL
29%
29%
42%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
MLI
1 - 0
MAR
30%
31%
39%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
USA
0 - 1
MAR
68%
21%
11%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LBY
0 - 0
MAR
16%
25%
59%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
0 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 1
CIV
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |