Colombia vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
COL
0 - 1
MEX
27%
21%
52%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1968 |
GUI
3 - 2
COL
68%
17%
15%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
MEX
1 - 0
COL
83%
10%
6%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
COL
0 - 0
CHI
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1966 |
CHI
5 - 2
COL
82%
12%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1968 |
FRA
1 - 3
ESP
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1968 |
FRA
4 - 1
MEX
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
FRA
3 - 1
GUI
83%
11%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1968 |
FRA
1 - 1
BRD
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
YUG
5 - 1
FRA
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |