Colombia vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 2
COL
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
PRY
5 - 0
COL
41%
26%
34%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
JPN
0 - 0
COL
44%
28%
28%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MNE
0 - 1
COL
12%
23%
65%
|
92 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
USA
1 - 3
PRY
61%
22%
17%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 1
USA
66%
20%
14%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
USA
2 - 1
MEX
48%
24%
28%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 2
USA
9%
19%
73%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
USA
2 - 1
PAN
88%
10%
3%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |