Colombia vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1957 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
66%
17%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1957 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
COL
1 - 2
PAR
38%
20%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1957 |
COL
2 - 3
PAR
40%
20%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
COL
1 - 1
URU
31%
21%
48%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1959 |
USA
1 - 8
ENG
31%
22%
47%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1956 |
YUG
9 - 1
USA
87%
8%
5%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1955 |
ISL
3 - 2
USA
50%
19%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1953 |
USA
3 - 6
ENG
30%
21%
49%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
ITA
8 - 0
USA
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |