Colombia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
COL
2 - 2
ARG
33%
27%
41%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
PER
0 - 3
COL
33%
27%
40%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ECU
6 - 1
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
COL
0 - 3
URU
46%
25%
29%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 2
COL
43%
26%
31%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ECU
1 - 2
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECU
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 1
BOL
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ECU
6 - 1
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 3
ECU
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |