Colombia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1989 |
URU
0 - 0
COL
68%
21%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1989 |
COL
1 - 1
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
0 - 0
COL
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1989 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
45%
28%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1989 |
VEN
2 - 4
COL
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1989 |
CHI
2 - 1
ECU
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1989 |
ECU
0 - 0
BOL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1989 |
ARG
0 - 0
ECU
75%
18%
7%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1989 |
ECU
1 - 0
URU
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1989 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |