Colombia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1973 |
HTI
2 - 1
COL
66%
17%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 2
COL
68%
17%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1973 |
COL
0 - 2
DDR
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1972 |
COL
3 - 1
GHA
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
DDR
6 - 1
COL
83%
10%
7%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 0
ECU
69%
16%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 2
ECU
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
ECU
0 - 0
BOL
47%
21%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
BOL
3 - 3
ECU
72%
15%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1973 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
28%
22%
51%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |