Colombia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1957 |
PER
4 - 1
COL
85%
10%
6%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
9 - 0
COL
91%
6%
3%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1957 |
CHI
3 - 2
COL
81%
12%
8%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
COL
1 - 0
URU
38%
22%
40%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
ARG
8 - 2
COL
88%
8%
4%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
CHI
2 - 2
ECU
92%
6%
3%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
7 - 1
ECU
93%
5%
2%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
89%
8%
3%
|
47 | 90 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1957 |
URU
5 - 2
ECU
91%
6%
3%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | -1 |