Colombia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1945 |
ARG
9 - 1
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
53%
21%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
URU
7 - 0
COL
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 0
COL
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 1
COL
44%
22%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
BOL
0 - 0
ECU
67%
17%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
4 - 2
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1945 |
URU
5 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
9%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
6 - 3
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
2 - 1
ECU
68%
17%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |