Colombia vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
PER
0 - 0
COL
25%
26%
49%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
COL
2 - 3
CRC
66%
21%
14%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
66%
21%
14%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
USA
0 - 2
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
COL
3 - 1
HTI
82%
14%
4%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
MEX
0 - 7
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
CHI
4 - 2
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
BOL
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHI
63%
20%
17%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
MEX
1 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
30%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |