Colombia vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
24.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
MEX
1 - 2
COL
62%
22%
15%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
URU
3 - 1
COL
54%
25%
20%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
ECU
54%
26%
20%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
COL
1 - 2
VEN
62%
24%
15%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
SLV
73%
20%
8%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
81%
13%
5%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
VEN
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 2
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
CHI
4 - 0
BOL
66%
21%
14%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
CHI
53%
26%
22%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | +1 |