Colombia vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
SVK
68%
21%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
COL
0 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
GTM
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
JAM
0 - 1
COL
9%
21%
70%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
TUR
63%
22%
16%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
BRA
0 - 1
MEX
85%
10%
5%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2003 |
USA
1 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
74%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
COL
0 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 1
HND
93%
5%
2%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 0
BRA
8%
15%
77%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |