Colombia vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
63.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 1
KWT
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1980 |
CSK
3 - 0
COL
85%
10%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 4
POL
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1981 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
17%
26%
57%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1981 |
BRA
4 - 1
BRD
51%
25%
24%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
41%
27%
33%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUI
87%
11%
2%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1980 |
BRA
6 - 0
PAR
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |