Colombia vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
1 - 1
COL
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
COL
3 - 0
VEN
48%
21%
31%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1969 |
COL
3 - 3
CHI
29%
22%
49%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1969 |
COL
0 - 1
URU
11%
18%
72%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
ECU
4 - 1
COL
56%
20%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1969 |
BRA
2 - 1
ENG
54%
22%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1969 |
BRA
3 - 2
PER
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1968 |
BRA
3 - 2
YUG
73%
16%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1968 |
BRA
3 - 3
YUG
73%
16%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |