Colombia vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
ARG
3 - 0
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
COL
0 - 0
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
URU
49%
25%
26%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
COL
30%
28%
42%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAR
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
VEN
5 - 0
BOL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
BOL
2 - 2
ECU
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
5 - 0
BOL
88%
10%
3%
|
78 | 97 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
BOL
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | -1 |