Colombia vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
CRC
64%
21%
16%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
SEN
68%
21%
12%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
52%
26%
22%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ECU
0 - 2
COL
44%
28%
28%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
CRC
33%
24%
43%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
ARG
1 - 1
BOL
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
PAR
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |