Colombia vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2004 |
BRA
0 - 0
COL
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
COL
1 - 1
PAR
49%
27%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
COL
47%
27%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
COL
1 - 2
URU
42%
24%
34%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
ARG
3 - 0
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GTM
1 - 0
BOL
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 0
URU
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 0
PER
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
BRA
3 - 1
BOL
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 99 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
VEN
1 - 1
BOL
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |