Colombia vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
VEN
0 - 1
COL
12%
21%
66%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2004 |
ARG
0 - 2
COL
71%
19%
10%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2004 |
COL
5 - 0
URU
43%
27%
31%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
ECU
2 - 1
COL
39%
28%
33%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
SLV
0 - 2
COL
23%
28%
49%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
PER
2 - 2
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ECU
3 - 2
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 2
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
VEN
2 - 1
BOL
44%
25%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |