Colombia vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
COL
2 - 2
PER
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
PER
1 - 0
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
0 - 1
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 1983 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1983 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
CHI
4 - 2
BOL
72%
17%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 1
PER
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
0 - 1
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 3
PAR
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
27%
23%
49%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |