Colombia vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1947 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1946 |
COL
2 - 1
PAN
66%
17%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1946 |
COL
4 - 1
CRC
49%
21%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1946 |
COL
4 - 1
PRI
76%
14%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
URU
3 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
7 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
ECU
2 - 2
BOL
51%
21%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1946 |
CHI
4 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1946 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |