Colombia vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
25%
27%
48%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
COL
5 - 0
PAN
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 0
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
CAN
83%
12%
5%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |