Colombia vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
56.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
COL
0 - 1
VEN
69%
20%
11%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BOL
4 - 0
COL
29%
28%
43%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
BRA
17%
23%
60%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
SVK
68%
21%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
COL
0 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ARG
3 - 0
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
VEN
0 - 3
ARG
11%
21%
68%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ARG
2 - 2
CHI
77%
16%
7%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
ARG
3 - 2
URU
71%
18%
11%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
ARG
2 - 2
URU
72%
18%
10%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |