Colombia vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
JAM
0 - 1
COL
9%
21%
70%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
TUR
63%
22%
16%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2003 |
CMR
1 - 0
COL
20%
26%
55%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 1
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
NZL
85%
11%
4%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
GTM
0 - 2
JAM
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2003 |
GTM
2 - 1
SLV
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
PER
2 - 1
GTM
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2003 |
GTM
1 - 2
PER
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
GTM
1 - 2
HND
31%
25%
45%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |