Colombia vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
KWT
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
BHR
0 - 6
COL
16%
26%
59%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
SVN
0 - 1
COL
24%
27%
49%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
USA
1 - 2
COL
45%
27%
28%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 1
COL
15%
26%
59%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
PAN
2 - 1
CRI
33%
26%
40%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 0
PRY
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
URY
3 - 3
CRI
65%
20%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
KOR
1 - 3
CRI
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
OMN
3 - 4
CRI
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |