Colombia vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 1987 |
ARG
1 - 2
COL
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1987 |
CHI
2 - 1
COL
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 1987 |
COL
3 - 0
PAR
41%
29%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1987 |
COL
2 - 0
BOL
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
ECU
3 - 0
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1987 |
MEX
4 - 0
CAN
89%
9%
3%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
CAN
1 - 0
SGP
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1986 |
PRK
2 - 0
CAN
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
CAN
0 - 1
CHN
44%
25%
32%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
CAN
4 - 0
IDN
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |