Cyprus vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
CYP
3 - 1
ARM
66%
20%
15%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
SMR
0 - 1
CYP
16%
19%
65%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
CZE
1 - 0
CYP
85%
11%
4%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CYP
1 - 3
SVK
33%
27%
39%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
CYP
0 - 3
BGR
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SMR
0 - 3
CZE
8%
19%
73%
|
39 | 94 | 55 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
SMR
0 - 1
CYP
16%
19%
65%
|
39 | 75 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
GER
6 - 0
SMR
97%
3%
1%
|
40 | 97 | 57 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
WAL
3 - 0
SMR
90%
8%
2%
|
40 | 87 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
SMR
1 - 2
IRL
10%
21%
70%
|
40 | 93 | 53 | 0 |