Cyprus vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1966 |
CYP
1 - 5
ROU
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
CYP
0 - 6
BRD
40%
23%
36%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
CYP
0 - 5
SWE
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
SWE
3 - 0
CYP
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
BRD
5 - 0
CYP
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
ITA
3 - 1
ROU
81%
12%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1966 |
ITA
1 - 0
SUN
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 1966 |
PRK
1 - 0
ITA
37%
24%
39%
|
89 | 9 | 80 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
1 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
ITA
2 - 0
CHI
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | +1 |