Cyprus vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
40%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
CYP
1 - 3
ESP
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
ROU
2 - 0
CYP
94%
5%
2%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1979 |
YUG
5 - 0
CYP
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
CYP
1 - 1
ROU
6%
20%
75%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
CYP
0 - 3
YUG
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
GRC
1 - 0
SUN
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
HUN
0 - 0
GRC
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
ROU
3 - 0
GRC
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1979 |
ISR
4 - 1
GRC
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
GRC
2 - 1
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |