Cyprus vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
FRA
4 - 0
CYP
82%
14%
5%
|
73 | 99 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CYP
0 - 1
IRL
19%
26%
55%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
CYP
1 - 3
SUI
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
FRO
0 - 3
CYP
31%
24%
46%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
CYP
2 - 1
IRQ
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
WAL
2 - 0
AZE
77%
17%
7%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
NIR
2 - 3
WAL
36%
28%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
POL
1 - 0
WAL
63%
22%
16%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
16%
25%
59%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
WAL
0 - 0
SVN
56%
26%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |