Cyprus vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MNE
1 - 1
CYP
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CYP
1 - 2
IRL
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ALB
6 - 1
CYP
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
CYP
2 - 2
MNE
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CYP
0 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
BGR
67%
21%
12%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BGR
4 - 1
MNE
89%
9%
3%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BGR
1 - 0
LVA
74%
18%
9%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
BGR
1 - 1
IRL
40%
27%
33%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
BGR
2 - 0
CYP
71%
18%
10%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |