Cyprus vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
46.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
CYP
2 - 1
HUN
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
CYP
1 - 1
GER
12%
20%
68%
|
75 | 97 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
WAL
3 - 1
CYP
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CYP
5 - 2
IRL
20%
27%
54%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
SVK
6 - 1
CYP
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
BGR
2 - 0
LVA
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
SVK
3 - 1
BGR
40%
28%
32%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
LUX
0 - 1
BGR
12%
22%
67%
|
90 | 31 | 59 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
BGR
1 - 1
NED
21%
24%
55%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
BGR
3 - 0
SVN
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |