Cyprus vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
50.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
CYP
1 - 2
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
POL
5 - 0
CYP
93%
5%
2%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
DEN
5 - 0
CYP
75%
14%
11%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
CYP
1 - 5
DEN
32%
22%
45%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
POR
1 - 0
CYP
84%
10%
6%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 0
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1977 |
ALG
1 - 1
BGR
26%
23%
51%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ROU
3 - 2
BGR
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
BGR
0 - 4
BMU
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
BGR
0 - 4
DDR
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |