Cyprus vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
BGR
2 - 0
CYP
83%
10%
6%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1973 |
NIR
3 - 0
CYP
65%
17%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
CYP
1 - 0
NIR
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
CYP
0 - 3
BGR
21%
23%
56%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
CYP
0 - 4
BGR
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
BGR
2 - 0
CYP
83%
10%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
POR
2 - 2
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
NIR
0 - 0
BGR
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1973 |
BGR
0 - 2
POL
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
GER
3 - 0
BGR
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |