Cyprus vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
55.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
CYP
0 - 4
BGR
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1972 |
CYP
0 - 1
POR
26%
24%
51%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
POR
4 - 0
CYP
76%
13%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
ESP
7 - 0
CYP
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1971 |
SUN
6 - 1
CYP
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
CYP
0 - 4
BGR
23%
23%
54%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1972 |
BGR
3 - 0
NIR
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
BGR
2 - 1
YUG
89%
8%
3%
|
81 | 6 | 75 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1972 |
BGR
1 - 1
ITA
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1972 |
SUN
1 - 0
BGR
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |