Cyprus vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
67.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
WAL
3 - 1
CYP
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CYP
5 - 2
IRL
20%
27%
54%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
SVK
6 - 1
CYP
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
ROU
2 - 0
CYP
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
CYP
2 - 0
ARM
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
SVK
1 - 4
GER
16%
23%
61%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
GER
2 - 0
GEO
89%
9%
3%
|
96 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
SMR
0 - 13
GER
5%
15%
80%
|
96 | 41 | 55 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
GER
1 - 0
IRL
71%
18%
11%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
GER
3 - 0
SWE
67%
19%
14%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |