Chile vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
SRB
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARG
25%
25%
50%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ECU
3 - 1
CHI
46%
25%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
ECU
3 - 0
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 1
SEN
18%
26%
56%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 2
CIV
28%
27%
46%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
4 - 2
SEN
62%
22%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
UGA
1 - 1
SEN
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SEN
3 - 1
LBR
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |